Saturday 20th October – Ascot – 3:15 1m (Str) Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (Group 1) (Sponsored By Qipco) (British Champions Mile) (Class 1) (3yo+)
The race was established in 1955 when the Knights Royal Stakes was renamed in honour of The Queen. When the present system of race grading was introduced in 1971 the QEII was designated as a Group 2 event, becoming a Group 1 race in 1987.
The race has been won by some notable horses over the years including Brigadier Gerard (who won it twice), Kris, Selkirk, Dubai Millennium and Frankel in 2011.
The race is open to horses aged three years old and over, and in the 47 renewals since 1970 has only been won five times by a horse over the age of four, most recently in 2015 when Solow won as a five year old. No horse over the age of five has won the event since 1970.
The betting is a good guide to finding the winner with 11 of the last 12 winners being found in the first three in the betting. The highest priced winner over the period was Persuasive who was returned at 8/1 when winning last year’s renewal.
Seven of the last 12 winners won on their previous start so current winning form is worth considering. Also, look out for horses with a recent run as eight of the last 12 winners ran within 35 days of the race. A previous run at Ascot is useful with seven of the last 12 winners having run previously run over the course. Five of the last 12 winners also had winning form at the track. Winning form over the race distance of 1 mile is a very important factor when considering a runner with 11 of the last 12 winners previously winning at least once over the trip.
Experienced horses do well in the event so look out for runners with at least eight previous career runs as 11 of the last 12 winners had run a minimum of eight times prior to the race. Ten of the last 12 winners has also won at least four times before the race.
Look for horses who have run at least four times earlier in the season as 10 of the last 12 winners had run four times or more before the race and 11 of the 12 had at least one win earlier in the campaign.
An Official Rating of 120 of higher has been required to win the race in nine of the last 12 renewals and nine of the last 12 winners had also previously won a Group 1 race.
The French raider Recoletos looks an interesting runner. The four year old Bay Colt won on his last start in the Group 1 Prix du Moulin at the Arc meeting over the QEII race distance of 1 mile. Interestingly, French-trained horses have won the QEII twice in the last four renewals. Complementing his winning form over the race distance, he also has winning form in the going and has also run at Ascot twice previously.
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