Lingfield – 3:40pm 7f RaceBets Million Chartwell Fillies’ Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3yo+)
Named after Chartwell, the principle home of Sir Winston Churchill which is located north-east of Lingfield, the Chartwell Stakes was established in 1994. It was originally designated at a Listed race before being upgraded to Group 3 status in 2004. The race is open to mares and fillies aged three years and older and is run over 7 furlongs and is part of Lingfield’s Derby Trials Day.
Recent renewals have not been kind to favourites or joint favourites with just two of the last 12 renewals going to favourites, although over the same period seven renewals have been won by horses in the first three in the betting. However, horses at bigger odds have also done well with five winners returning at prices between 10/1 and 16/1.
Horses making their seasonal reappearance have done well recently. Seven of the last 12 winners fall into this category. Interestingly, of the five winners who has a run earlier in the season, four of them had already won during the current campaign.
Winning over 7 furlongs tends to be somewhat of a specialist event as participants require a particular mix of speed and stamina to be successful. Therefore it is no surprise that 10 of the last 12 winners had won at least twice over the race distance. Previous course form is not a requirement as only three of the winners in the same period had previously run or won at Lingfield.
Racing experience is more important with ten of the last twelve winners running six times or more before running in the Chartwell Stakes.
Previous winning form at Group level is a not a major consideration as only three of the last 12 winners having won at Group level before the race. When considering Official Ratings look for horses rated 98 or higher as 10 winners in the same period fulfilled this statistic.
Perfection comes ouy best on the statistics. The four year old chestnut filly has had 10 career starts to date and although she has only won once over 7 furlongs from five starts she was placed in two of her runs.
She runs off an Official Rating of 100 which comes off the back of her last run in October when she won the Listed Boadicea Stakes over 6 furlongs at Newmarket. She has changed stables over the winter moving from John Gosden to David O’Meara so it remains to been seen how she performs for her new connections.
However, she does have Danny Tudhope in the saddle, who has made a very good start to the Flat season and has a 27% winning strike rate over the last 14 days. He has also won 28 pattern races when riding horses for David O’Meara.