Eclipster: Royal Ascot Day 1 – Barney Roy could bring home the Queen Anne Stakes

Tuesday 19th June – 2:30 – Royal Ascot – 1m (Str) Queen Anne Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) (Class 1) (4yo+)

The Queen Anne Stakes was first run in 1840 and for the early part of its history it was known as the Trial Stakes and was open to horses ages three and older. Its name was changed in 1930 to its current title in honour of Queen Anne who was the founder of Ascot racecourse. The race achieved Group 3 status in 1971 and was elevated to Group 2 in 1894. In 2003 it was given Group 1 status at which point the minimum age for participating horses was raised to four. It is now the first race on the opening day of Royal Ascot.

The Queen Anne Stakes is a very strong race from a statistical perspective. Since the race was promoted to Group 1 status in 2003 the 15 renewals have been won by four and five year old horses exclusively. Four year olds having won 12 times with five year olds winning on five occasions.

The betting has been a significant factor in recent renewals of the race, as since 1995 only two winners have started outside of the top four in the betting and won, including Accidental Agent who won the race last year.

A recent run is another key attribute for winning the Queen Anne Stakes as only one of the last 12 winners were making their seasonal reappearance (Tornado in 2012). Six of the 12 also won on their previous start and 10 of the 12 winners ran within 31 days of the race, with eight of the last 12 winners previously winning earlier in the season. A previous run at Ascot is useful as five of the last 12 winners had previously run at the course. Interestingly all four had won at the track.

Previous winning form is a very important factor as 11 of the last 12 winners had previously won over 1 mile and 11 of the last 12 winners had won at least four times previously, although not necessarily over 1 mile.

An Official Rating of at least 112 has been required to win the race on nine of the last 12 occasions. Previous Group 1 winning form is a very important factor, as since the race was upgraded to Group 1 status in 2003, 13 of the 16 winners had won at Group 1 level earlier in their careers.

Godolphin have won the race the race on eight occasions between 1996 and 2017 and Charlie Appleby saddles Barney Roy in the race today. The five year old bay gelding won the Group 1 St James’s Palace Stakes at Royal Ascot last year and has won three times over today’s race distance of 1 mile. He has also won in the going and his trainer is in very good form at the moment. He also has the assistance of James Doyle in the saddle who has ridden Barney Roy on seven of his nine starts including three of his four wins.

Please note: tips are followed at your own risk. Please gamble responsibly.  

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